Saturday, December 10, 2016

Will Duolingo make non English languages to go extinct?

 Will Duolingo make non English languages to go extinct?


Will Duolingo have a positive or negative impact on the number of people learning English?

While Duolingo can be used to learn English, it also aims to make learning English less necessary through its translations of the web.

So what sort of impact will it have on the number of people learning English?

Even with Duolingo learning another language is hard. If you're in a monolingual culture (like the US), it's even harder. A brain really doesn't want to work that hard, so it will fight you when it comes to learning a second language, and there is only so much a program can do to counteract that. You need strong motivation to learn a new language as an adult, and without it, not even the greatest computer program in the world will help you.

So with all these factors, even if Duolingo makes language learning a lot easier, there are all sorts of factors that keep languages just as plentiful and diverse now (in the days of only a matter of hours between continents) as they were when the only ocean transportation was by sailing ship (when it took months to go between continents). 

If one looks at a snapshot of the number of people learning;languages 
Snapshot of  the  stats  of Duolingo users .
"Hind speakers learning  english  "num_learners": 2,722,505

"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "hu", "num_learners": 3579370,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "hi", "num_learners": 2722505,
 "learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "ko", "num_learners": 2315704,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "uk", "num_learners": 668232
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "ro", "num_learners": 3117645
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "pl", "num_learners": 4471643,

"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "dn", "num_learners": 2537886,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "fr", "num_learners": 12696232,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "ar", "num_learners": 6968800,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "cs", "num_learners": 1530595,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "id", "num_learners": 1348499,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "es", "num_learners": 94165078,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "ru", "num_learners": 11234169,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "zs", "num_learners": 10951292,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "zs", "num_learners": 10951292,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "pt", "num_learners": 36869019,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "el", "num_learners": 601224,
learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "vi", "num_learners": 5023652,
 "learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "it", "num_learners": 11320062,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "cs", "num_learners": 1530595,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "id", "num_learners": 1348499,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "es", "num_learners": 94165078,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "pt", "num_learners": 36869019,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "hu", "num_learners": 3579370,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "hi", "num_learners": 2722505,
 "learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "ko", "num_learners": 2315704,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "uk", "num_learners": 668232
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "ro", "num_learners": 3117645
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "pl", "num_learners": 4471643,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "dn", "num_learners": 2537886,
"learning_language_id": "es", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 74092950
"learning_language_id": "es", "from_language": "de", "num_learners": 1185965
"learning_language_id": "es", "from_language": "de", "num_learners": 1185965
"learning_language_id": "es", "from_language": "ru", "num_learners": 269524,
"learning_language_id": "es", "from_language": "de", "num_learners": 1185965
"learning_language_id": "es", "from_language": "ru", "num_learners": 269524,
"learning_language_id": "es", "from_language": "pt", "num_learners": 4886990,
"learning_language_id": "eo", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 637107,
"learning_language_id": "ro", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 28776,

 "learning_language_id": "vi", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 382714
"learning_language_id": "it", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 17419559,
"learning_language_id": "de", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 27721239
"learning_language_id": "he", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 508071,
"learning_language_id": "no-BO", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 1137191,
"learning_language_id": "sv", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 2716186,
"learning_language_id": "pt", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 7477679,
"learning_language_id": "uk", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 537466,
"learning_language_id": "hu", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 204227,
"learning_language_id": "nl-NL", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 2906814,
"learning_language_id": "cy", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 376623
"learning_language_id": "fr", "from_language": "de", "num_learners": 1735916,
"learning_language_id": "gn", "from_language": "es", "num_learners": 21547,
"learning_language_id": "pt", "from_language": "es", "num_learners": 4712849,
"learning_language_id": "fr", "from_language": "it", "num_learners": 512276,
learning_language_id": "sv", "from_language": "ar", "num_learners": 91726,
"learning_language_id": "fr","from_language": "ar", "num_learners": 415663,
"learning_language_id": "de", "from_language": "ar", "num_learners": 308652,
 "learning_language_id": "de", "from_language": "es", "num_learners": 4355530,
"learning_language_id": "fr", "from_language": "es", "num_learners": 9537459,

"learning_language_id": "it", "from_language": "es", "num_learners": 4991845,
"learning_language_id": "ca", "from_language": "es", "num_learners": 443889,
"learning_language_id": "de", "from_language": "ru", "num_learners": 1503756,
"learning_language_id": "fr", "from_language": "pt", "num_learners": 2482755,
"learning_language_id": "de", "from_language": "pt", "num_learners": 1062619,
"learning_language_id": "en", "from_language": "tr", "num_learners": 8659371
"learning_language_id": "de", "from_language": "tr", "num_learners": 358609,
"learning_language_id": "de", "from_language": "fr", "num_learners": 573747,
"learning_language_id": "it", "from_language": "fr", "num_learners": 836985,
"learning_language_id": "fr", "from_language": "ru", "num_learners": 379533,
"learning_language_id": "fr", "from_language": "ru", "num_learners": 379533,

"learning_language_id": "fr", "from_language": "de", "num_learners": 1735916,
, "learning_language_id": "vi", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 382714
"learning_language_id": "it", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 17419559,
"learning_language_id": "de", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 27721239
"learning_language_id": "he", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 508071,
"learning_language_id": "no-BO", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 1137191,
"learning_language_id": "sv", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 2716186,
"learning_language_id": "pt", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 7477679,
"learning_language_id": "uk", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 537466,
"learning_language_id": "hu", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 204227,
"learning_language_id": "nl-NL", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 2906814,
"learning_language_id": "cy", "from_language": "en", "num_learners": 376623



As far as I can see more people seem to be learning English using Duolingo, than any other  language,I predict  in future  Duolingo might have  more adverse effect on  language extinction than preservation.
It will  more likely make the world mono lingual i.e  English speaking

 Duolingo  Effectiveness Study

EXECUTIVE(SUMMARY 

The research study of Duolingo effectiveness was independently conducted in September to November of 2012. 

The study lasted for approximately eight weeks. 

A random representative  sample  was  selected  from  Duolingo  users  who studied  Spanish. The participants were at least  18 years of age, native speakers of English, not from Hispanic origin and not advanced users of  Spanish, and all of the participants resided in the United States The participants took one college placement Spanish language test in the beginning of the study  and one test at the end of the study. The test results were measured in points (the higher the  better). The improvement of language abilities was measured as the difference between the  final and the initial language test results. The effectiveness of Duolingo was measured as  language improvement per one hour of study.  Overall the average improvement in language abilities was 91.4 points and the  improvement was statistically significant.  •  The effectiveness measure showed that on average participants gained 8.1 points per one  hour of study with Duolingo.  •  The 95% Confidence Interval for the effectiveness is from 5.6 points to 10.7 points gained per one hour of study. •  The study estimated that a person with no knowledge of Spanish would need between 26  and 49 hours (or 34 hours on average) to cover the material for the first college semester  of Spanish. This result is based on the language test’s cutQoff point for the second college  semester and the 95% Confidence Interval of the effectiveness measure. •( The main factor for higher effectiveness was the motivation of the participants, with  people studying for travel gaining the most and people studying for personal interest  gaining the least. •( Another factor for higher effectiveness was the initial level of knowledge of Spanish with  beginners gaining the most and more advanced learners gaining the least.

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